diff --git a/messages/en.json b/messages/en.json
index 79f3508..af15b17 100644
--- a/messages/en.json
+++ b/messages/en.json
@@ -295,9 +295,22 @@
       "engine-label-medium": "Medium",
       "engine-label-low": "Low",
       "engine-label-very-low": "Very Low",
-      "best-single-pick": "Strongest Signal",
-      "alternative-markets": "Alternative Markets",
-      "alternative-markets-info": "Options outside the main recommendation.",
+      "best-single-pick": "Value Bet (odds-based)",
+      "match-result-prediction": "Match Result Prediction",
+      "match-result-copy": "The model's most likely outcome (who wins).",
+      "match-result-vs-value": "This is the most likely outcome. The \"Value Bet\" below is the most profitable pick by odds — the two can differ.",
+      "value-bet-framing": "This is NOT the most likely outcome — it's an odds-based value bet profitable over the long run. Its standalone hit chance may be low.",
+      "probability-short": "probability",
+      "draw": "Draw",
+      "home": "Home",
+      "away": "Away",
+      "bets-short": "bets",
+      "league-conf-high": "Model strong in this league",
+      "league-conf-medium": "Model average in this league",
+      "league-conf-low": "Model weak in this league",
+      "league-conf-basis": "past performance",
+      "alternative-markets": "Other Value Opportunities",
+      "alternative-markets-info": "Match-result prediction is above. These are odds-based value bets, not the most likely outcome.",
       "alternative": "Alternative",
       "pass-market": "Rejected Market",
       "all-markets-title": "All Markets",
diff --git a/messages/tr.json b/messages/tr.json
index c41f3ba..7ff25c7 100644
--- a/messages/tr.json
+++ b/messages/tr.json
@@ -295,9 +295,22 @@
       "engine-label-medium": "Orta",
       "engine-label-low": "Düşük",
       "engine-label-very-low": "Çok Düşük",
-      "best-single-pick": "En Güçlü Sinyal",
-      "alternative-markets": "Alternatif Marketler",
-      "alternative-markets-info": "Ana tahmin dışındaki seçenekler.",
+      "best-single-pick": "Değerli Bahis (orana göre)",
+      "match-result-prediction": "Maç Sonucu Tahmini",
+      "match-result-copy": "Modelin en olası gördüğü sonuç (kim kazanır).",
+      "match-result-vs-value": "Bu en olası sonuçtur. Aşağıdaki \"Değerli Bahis\" ise orana göre en kârlı görülen seçimdir — ikisi farklı olabilir.",
+      "value-bet-framing": "Bu, maçın en olası sonucu DEĞİL — orana göre uzun vadede kârlı görülen değer bahsidir. Tek başına tutma olasılığı düşük olabilir.",
+      "probability-short": "olasılık",
+      "draw": "Beraberlik",
+      "home": "Ev Sahibi",
+      "away": "Deplasman",
+      "bets-short": "bahis",
+      "league-conf-high": "Bu ligde model güçlü",
+      "league-conf-medium": "Bu ligde model orta",
+      "league-conf-low": "Bu ligde model zayıf",
+      "league-conf-basis": "geçmiş performans",
+      "alternative-markets": "Diğer Değer Fırsatları",
+      "alternative-markets-info": "Maç sonucu tahmini yukarıda. Bunlar orana göre değerli görülen bahislerdir; en olası sonuç değil.",
       "alternative": "Alternatif",
       "pass-market": "Elenen Market",
       "all-markets-title": "Tüm Marketler",
diff --git a/src/components/matches/prediction-card.tsx b/src/components/matches/prediction-card.tsx
index 6e48358..29c98e9 100644
--- a/src/components/matches/prediction-card.tsx
+++ b/src/components/matches/prediction-card.tsx
@@ -613,6 +613,13 @@ function PickCard({
             <Text fontSize="2xl" fontWeight="bold">
               {pick.pick}
             </Text>
+            <Text fontSize="xs" color="fg.muted" maxW="380px">
+              {getUiText(
+                ui,
+                "value-bet-framing",
+                "Bu, maçın en olası sonucu DEĞİL — orana göre uzun vadede kârlı görülen değer bahsidir. Tek başına tutma olasılığı düşük olabilir.",
+              )}
+            </Text>
             <HStack gap={2} flexWrap="wrap">
               <Badge variant="subtle">
                 {getMarketLabel(pick.market, marketLabels)}
@@ -1166,6 +1173,8 @@ export default function PredictionCard({ prediction }: PredictionCardProps) {
   const greenBorderColor = useColorModeValue("green.200", "green.800");
   const statCardBg = useColorModeValue("gray.50", "whiteAlpha.50");
   const trackBgColor = useColorModeValue("gray.100", "gray.700");
+  const mrPredBg = useColorModeValue("blue.50", "blue.950");
+  const mrPredBorder = useColorModeValue("blue.300", "blue.700");
   const riskPalette = getRiskPalette(prediction.risk.level);
   const qualityPalette = getQualityPalette(prediction.data_quality.label);
   const recommendedPick = prediction.main_pick;
@@ -1408,15 +1417,15 @@ export default function PredictionCard({ prediction }: PredictionCardProps) {
 
           {matchResultPrediction ? (
             <Box
-              p={4}
-              bg={statCardBg}
-              borderWidth="1px"
-              borderColor={borderColor}
+              p={5}
+              bg={mrPredBg}
+              borderWidth="2px"
+              borderColor={mrPredBorder}
               borderRadius="2xl"
             >
               <HStack justify="space-between" align="start" mb={3}>
                 <VStack align="start" gap={1}>
-                  <Badge colorPalette="blue" variant="subtle" borderRadius="full">
+                  <Badge colorPalette="blue" variant="solid" borderRadius="full">
                     {uiText("match-result-prediction", "Maç Sonucu Tahmini")}
                   </Badge>
                   <Text fontSize="2xl" fontWeight="bold">
@@ -1506,6 +1515,12 @@ export default function PredictionCard({ prediction }: PredictionCardProps) {
                     <Text fontSize="2xl" fontWeight="bold">
                       {recommendedPick.pick}
                     </Text>
+                    <Text fontSize="xs" color="fg.muted" maxW="380px">
+                      {uiText(
+                        "value-bet-framing",
+                        "Bu, maçın en olası sonucu DEĞİL — orana göre uzun vadede kârlı görülen değer bahsidir. Tek başına tutma olasılığı düşük olabilir.",
+                      )}
+                    </Text>
                     <Text fontSize="sm" color="fg.muted">
                       {getMarketLabel(recommendedPick.market, marketLabels)}{" "}
                       {uiText("best-market-copy", "marketinde en güçlü seçim.")}