iddaai-be/ai-engine/reports/backtest_v26_shadow_htft_upset.csv

1	match_id	date	league	match	ht_score	final_score	strategy	market	pick	odds	playable	confidence	result	counted_in_roi	profit_flat	resolution_note	source	reversal_pick	reversal_prob	favorite_gap	favorite_odd	support_score	odds_band_score	odds_band_label	league_reversal_rate	league_strict_rev_rate	referee_strict_rev_rate	surprise_score	reason_codes	pick_reason
2	b6uzz042mizu0dqpci538z4lw	2025-09-06	Süper Kupa	V. Sarsfield vs C. Cordoba	0-0	2-0	v25_aggressive	HTFT	2/1	34.5	True	21.0	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=X/1	v25.aggressive_pick	2/1
3	b6uzz042mizu0dqpci538z4lw	2025-09-06	Süper Kupa	V. Sarsfield vs C. Cordoba	0-0	2-0	v26_aggressive	HTFT	1/1	3.26	True	16.0	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=X/1	v26.aggressive_pick	1/1
4	ytsc38rm4j22govgwo3as6j8	2025-09-06	DK Elemeler	Avusturya vs G. Kıbrıs Rum Kesimi	0-0	1-0	v25_aggressive	HTFT	X/1	4.01	True	11.4	WON	True	3.01	actual=X/1	v25.aggressive_pick	X/1
5	cfar57gsu6hy770n7e58u8duc	2025-09-06	Eerste Divisie	Cambuur vs Willem II	0-1	2-2	v25_aggressive	HTFT	2/1	20.7	True	15.6	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=2/X	v25.aggressive_pick	2/1
6	cfar57gsu6hy770n7e58u8duc	2025-09-06	Eerste Divisie	Cambuur vs Willem II	0-1	2-2	v26_aggressive	HTFT	1/1	2.13	True	14.4	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=2/X	v26.aggressive_pick	1/1
7	99r0d7ggi1169dhklo4eroopg	2025-09-06	2. Lig	Bromley vs Gillingham	2-0	2-2	v25_aggressive	HTFT	2/1	30.5	True	25.6	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=1/X	v25.aggressive_pick	2/1
8	99r0d7ggi1169dhklo4eroopg	2025-09-06	2. Lig	Bromley vs Gillingham	2-0	2-2	v26_surprise	HTFT	1/2	34.5	False	4.9	LOST	False	0.0	actual=1/X	v26.surprise_pick	1/2	0.0679	1.02	1.92	73.5	0.642		0.04	0.0	0.0	62.7	favorite_gap_large,favorite_price_supported,reversal_prob_warm,quality_supports_reversal,favorite_odds_band_reversal_window,favorite_streak_break_window
9	99r0d7ggi1169dhklo4eroopg	2025-09-06	2. Lig	Bromley vs Gillingham	2-0	2-2	v26_aggressive	HTFT	1/1	3.16	True	16.1	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=1/X	v26.aggressive_pick	1/1
10	790qnaweqoyffb5ndxnb4hlas	2025-09-06	Ulusal Lig	Aldershot vs Brackley	1-0	2-2	v25_aggressive	HTFT	X/2	6.07	True	9.0	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=1/X	v25.aggressive_pick	X/2
11	790qnaweqoyffb5ndxnb4hlas	2025-09-06	Ulusal Lig	Aldershot vs Brackley	1-0	2-2	v26_aggressive	HTFT	2/2	3.8	True	37.1	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=1/X	v26.aggressive_pick	2/2
12	8808y1x2hmz52k3mr598orqc4	2025-09-06	DK Elemeler	Ermenistan vs Portekiz	0-3	0-5	v25_aggressive	HTFT	X/2	4.03	True	11.6	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=2/2	v25.aggressive_pick	X/2
13	7gfnwoxqz5o2clin40a85uqdw	2025-09-06	1. Lig	Port Vale vs Leyton Orient	1-2	2-3	v25_aggressive	HTFT	X/1	4.84	True	12.3	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=2/2	v25.aggressive_pick	X/1
14	7gfnwoxqz5o2clin40a85uqdw	2025-09-06	1. Lig	Port Vale vs Leyton Orient	1-2	2-3	v26_surprise	HTFT	1/2	33.0	False	5.4	LOST	False	0.0	actual=2/2	v26.surprise_pick	1/2	0.0749	0.62	1.97	52.1	0.642		0.044	0.0	0.0	57.0	favorite_gap_large,favorite_price_supported,reversal_prob_warm,draw_swing_support,quality_supports_reversal,favorite_odds_band_reversal_window
15	7gfnwoxqz5o2clin40a85uqdw	2025-09-06	1. Lig	Port Vale vs Leyton Orient	1-2	2-3	v26_aggressive	HTFT	2/2	4.51	True	17.3	WON	True	3.51	actual=2/2	v26.aggressive_pick	2/2
16	7fld91ykj1kfuoc8wn4r2frbo	2025-09-06	1. Lig	Lincoln City vs Wigan Ath	2-1	2-2	v25_aggressive	HTFT	X/1	4.7	True	19.2	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=1/X	v25.aggressive_pick	X/1
17	7fld91ykj1kfuoc8wn4r2frbo	2025-09-06	1. Lig	Lincoln City vs Wigan Ath	2-1	2-2	v26_surprise	HTFT	1/2	34.5	False	7.1	LOST	False	0.0	actual=1/X	v26.surprise_pick	1/2	0.0984	0.71	2.0	61.5	0.642		0.044	0.0	0.0	61.7	favorite_gap_large,favorite_price_supported,reversal_prob_hot,upset_risk_detected,quality_supports_reversal,favorite_odds_band_reversal_window
18	7fld91ykj1kfuoc8wn4r2frbo	2025-09-06	1. Lig	Lincoln City vs Wigan Ath	2-1	2-2	v26_aggressive	HTFT	1/1	3.36	True	19.5	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=1/X	v26.aggressive_pick	1/1
19	7i4nhkex1qssyp3x6rsgj03ro	2025-09-06	1. Lig	Wycombe vs Mansfield	1-0	2-0	v25_aggressive	HTFT	X/2	6.92	True	11.1	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=1/1	v25.aggressive_pick	X/2
20	7i4nhkex1qssyp3x6rsgj03ro	2025-09-06	1. Lig	Wycombe vs Mansfield	1-0	2-0	v26_main_htft	HTFT	2/2	5.22	False	39.9	LOST	False	0.0	actual=1/1	v26.main_pick											0.0
21	7hagai8xazmsj5exw7idwhhck	2025-09-06	1. Lig	Rotherham vs Exeter City	1-0	1-0	v25_aggressive	HTFT	X/2	6.28	True	6.7	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=1/1	v25.aggressive_pick	X/2
22	7hagai8xazmsj5exw7idwhhck	2025-09-06	1. Lig	Rotherham vs Exeter City	1-0	1-0	v26_aggressive	HTFT	2/2	4.47	True	29.6	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=1/1	v26.aggressive_pick	2/2
23	6e37x17qvk0snpokd1698lkb8	2025-09-06	Premiership	Crusaders vs Coleraine	0-3	0-4	v25_aggressive	HTFT	X/2	4.24	True	11.5	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=2/2	v25.aggressive_pick	X/2
24	6e37x17qvk0snpokd1698lkb8	2025-09-06	Premiership	Crusaders vs Coleraine	0-3	0-4	v26_aggressive	HTFT	2/2	2.32	True	37.7	WON	True	1.32	actual=2/2	v26.aggressive_pick	2/2
25	6f0fqlafaei9oj8yd9hdi6rdg	2025-09-06	Premiership	Linfield vs Portadown	0-0	3-0	v25_aggressive	HTFT	2/1	23.2	True	18.6	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=X/1	v25.aggressive_pick	2/1
26	6f0fqlafaei9oj8yd9hdi6rdg	2025-09-06	Premiership	Linfield vs Portadown	0-0	3-0	v26_aggressive	HTFT	1/1	1.74	True	20.4	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=X/1	v26.aggressive_pick	1/1
27	6dny1bmxcj6shc5382dno2al0	2025-09-06	Premiership	Carrick vs Cliftonville	0-1	1-2	v25_aggressive	HTFT	2/1	30.5	True	14.4	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=2/2	v25.aggressive_pick	2/1
28	6dny1bmxcj6shc5382dno2al0	2025-09-06	Premiership	Carrick vs Cliftonville	0-1	1-2	v26_surprise	HTFT	2/1	30.5	False	10.1	LOST	False	0.0	actual=2/2	v26.surprise_pick	2/1	0.1401	0.59	1.97	62.8	0.642		0.0667	0.0	0.0	66.2	favorite_price_supported,reversal_prob_hot,quality_supports_reversal,favorite_odds_band_reversal_window,league_strict_reversal_prior,draw_pressure_supports_swing
29	6dny1bmxcj6shc5382dno2al0	2025-09-06	Premiership	Carrick vs Cliftonville	0-1	1-2	v26_aggressive	HTFT	1/1	4.36	True	14.6	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=2/2	v26.aggressive_pick	1/1
30	9d9nwo82prx06riy5odgnr190	2025-09-06	2. Lig	Walsall vs Chesterfield	1-0	1-0	v25_aggressive	HTFT	X/2	5.38	True	10.3	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=1/1	v25.aggressive_pick	X/2
31	9d9nwo82prx06riy5odgnr190	2025-09-06	2. Lig	Walsall vs Chesterfield	1-0	1-0	v26_aggressive	HTFT	2/2	3.78	True	35.1	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=1/1	v26.aggressive_pick	2/2
32	7dwtx5tr7g66bsqkoc1wos9as	2025-09-06	1. Lig	Bolton vs Wimbledon	1-0	3-0	v25_aggressive	HTFT	X/1	3.76	True	12.1	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=1/1	v25.aggressive_pick	X/1
33	7dwtx5tr7g66bsqkoc1wos9as	2025-09-06	1. Lig	Bolton vs Wimbledon	1-0	3-0	v26_aggressive	HTFT	1/1	1.81	True	33.3	WON	True	0.81	actual=1/1	v26.aggressive_pick	1/1
34	7c85gguekhbhadtm7qdbgir6c	2025-09-06	Ulusal Lig	Tamworth vs Eastleigh	0-0	1-0	v25_aggressive	HTFT	1/2	34.5	True	14.1	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=X/1	v25.aggressive_pick	1/2
35	7c85gguekhbhadtm7qdbgir6c	2025-09-06	Ulusal Lig	Tamworth vs Eastleigh	0-0	1-0	v26_aggressive	HTFT	2/2	5.53	True	14.8	LOST	True	-1.0	actual=X/1	v26.aggressive_pick	2/2