const { PrismaClient } = require('@prisma/client'); const prisma = new PrismaClient(); async function predictMatch() { const matchId = '2m4sef2l4im49rda90k3p41lg'; console.log('\n'); console.log( '╔══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗', ); console.log( '║ GLM-5 TAHMİN - MAÇ ID: ' + matchId.substring(0, 20) + '... ║', ); console.log( '╚══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝', ); // MAÇ BİLGİLERİNİ GETİR const match = await prisma.match.findUnique({ where: { id: matchId }, include: { homeTeam: true, awayTeam: true, league: { include: { country: true } }, oddCategories: { include: { selections: true }, }, officials: { include: { role: true } }, aiFeatures: true, }, }); if (!match) { console.log('❌ Maç bulunamadı!'); await prisma.$disconnect(); return; } console.log( '\n═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════', ); console.log('⚽ MAÇ BİLGİLERİ'); console.log( '═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════', ); console.log(`\n🏠 Ev Sahibi: ${match.homeTeam?.name || 'Bilinmiyor'}`); console.log(`✈️ Deplasman: ${match.awayTeam?.name || 'Bilinmiyor'}`); console.log( `🏆 Lig: ${match.league?.name || 'Bilinmiyor'} (${match.league?.country?.name || ''})`, ); console.log( `📅 Tarih: ${new Date(Number(match.mstUtc)).toLocaleString('tr-TR', { timeZone: 'Europe/Istanbul' })}`, ); console.log(`📊 Durum: ${match.state} / ${match.status}`); console.log(`🔢 İddaa Kodu: ${match.iddaaCode || 'Yok'}`); if (match.scoreHome !== null && match.scoreAway !== null) { console.log( `\n⚠️ DİKKAT: Maç bitmiş! Skor: ${match.scoreHome} - ${match.scoreAway}`, ); } // ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ // 1. ORAN ANALİZİ // ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ console.log( '\n═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════', ); console.log('📊 1. ORAN ANALİZİ'); console.log( '═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════', ); const odds = { ms_h: null, ms_d: null, ms_a: null, dc_1x: null, dc_x2: null, dc_12: null, ou25_o: null, ou25_u: null, ou15_o: null, ou15_u: null, ou35_o: null, ou35_u: null, btts_y: null, btts_n: null, ht_h: null, ht_d: null, ht_a: null, }; console.log('\n📋 Tüm Oran Kategorileri:\n'); for (const cat of match.oddCategories) { const selections = cat.selections .map((s) => `${s.name}: ${s.oddValue}`) .join(' | '); console.log(` ${cat.name}: ${selections}`); // Maç Sonucu if (cat.name?.includes('Maç Sonucu') || cat.name === 'MS') { for (const sel of cat.selections) { if (sel.name === '1') odds.ms_h = parseFloat(sel.oddValue); if (sel.name === 'X') odds.ms_d = parseFloat(sel.oddValue); if (sel.name === '2') odds.ms_a = parseFloat(sel.oddValue); } } // Çifte Şans if (cat.name?.includes('Çifte Şans')) { for (const sel of cat.selections) { if (sel.name === '1-X') odds.dc_1x = parseFloat(sel.oddValue); if (sel.name === 'X-2') odds.dc_x2 = parseFloat(sel.oddValue); if (sel.name === '1-2') odds.dc_12 = parseFloat(sel.oddValue); } } // 2.5 Alt/Üst if (cat.name?.includes('2,5') || cat.name?.includes('2.5')) { for (const sel of cat.selections) { if (sel.name === 'Alt' || sel.name === 'A') odds.ou25_u = parseFloat(sel.oddValue); if (sel.name === 'Üst' || sel.name === 'Ü') odds.ou25_o = parseFloat(sel.oddValue); } } // 1.5 Alt/Üst if (cat.name?.includes('1,5') || cat.name?.includes('1.5')) { for (const sel of cat.selections) { if (sel.name === 'Alt' || sel.name === 'A') odds.ou15_u = parseFloat(sel.oddValue); if (sel.name === 'Üst' || sel.name === 'Ü') odds.ou15_o = parseFloat(sel.oddValue); } } // 3.5 Alt/Üst if (cat.name?.includes('3,5') || cat.name?.includes('3.5')) { for (const sel of cat.selections) { if (sel.name === 'Alt' || sel.name === 'A') odds.ou35_u = parseFloat(sel.oddValue); if (sel.name === 'Üst' || sel.name === 'Ü') odds.ou35_o = parseFloat(sel.oddValue); } } // KG Var/Yok if ( cat.name?.toLowerCase().includes('karşılıklı') || cat.name?.includes('KG') || cat.name?.includes('Gol') ) { for (const sel of cat.selections) { if (sel.name === 'Var' || sel.name === 'Evet' || sel.name === 'KG Var') odds.btts_y = parseFloat(sel.oddValue); if (sel.name === 'Yok' || sel.name === 'Hayır' || sel.name === 'KG Yok') odds.btts_n = parseFloat(sel.oddValue); } } // İlk Yarı if (cat.name?.includes('1. Yarı') && cat.name?.includes('Sonuc')) { for (const sel of cat.selections) { if (sel.name === '1') odds.ht_h = parseFloat(sel.oddValue); if (sel.name === 'X') odds.ht_d = parseFloat(sel.oddValue); if (sel.name === '2') odds.ht_a = parseFloat(sel.oddValue); } } } // Implied Probability Hesapla if (odds.ms_h && odds.ms_d && odds.ms_a) { const rawHome = (1 / odds.ms_h) * 100; const rawDraw = (1 / odds.ms_d) * 100; const rawAway = (1 / odds.ms_a) * 100; const total = rawHome + rawDraw + rawAway; console.log( `\n📊 MS Oranları: 1=${odds.ms_h} | X=${odds.ms_d} | 2=${odds.ms_a}`, ); console.log(`📈 Bookmaker Margin: %${(total - 100).toFixed(1)}`); console.log(`🎯 Normalize Olasılık:`); console.log(` 1 (Ev): %${((rawHome / total) * 100).toFixed(1)}`); console.log(` X (Beraberlik): %${((rawDraw / total) * 100).toFixed(1)}`); console.log(` 2 (Deplasman): %${((rawAway / total) * 100).toFixed(1)}`); odds.normHome = (rawHome / total) * 100; odds.normDraw = (rawDraw / total) * 100; odds.normAway = (rawAway / total) * 100; } // ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ // 2. TAKIM FORM ANALİZİ // ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ console.log( '\n═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════', ); console.log('📈 2. TAKIM FORM ANALİZİ'); console.log( '═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════', ); // Ev sahibi son 10 maç const homeMatches = await prisma.match.findMany({ where: { OR: [{ homeTeamId: match.homeTeamId }, { awayTeamId: match.homeTeamId }], sport: 'football', state: 'postGame', scoreHome: { not: null }, scoreAway: { not: null }, }, include: { homeTeam: true, awayTeam: true, league: true }, orderBy: { mstUtc: 'desc' }, take: 10, }); console.log(`\n🏠 ${match.homeTeam?.name} - Son ${homeMatches.length} Maç:`); let homeWins = 0, homeDraws = 0, homeLosses = 0; let homeGoalsFor = 0, homeGoalsAgainst = 0; for (const m of homeMatches) { const isHome = m.homeTeamId === match.homeTeamId; const gf = isHome ? m.scoreHome : m.scoreAway; const ga = isHome ? m.scoreAway : m.scoreHome; homeGoalsFor += gf || 0; homeGoalsAgainst += ga || 0; let result; if (gf > ga) { homeWins++; result = '✅'; } else if (gf < ga) { homeLosses++; result = '❌'; } else { homeDraws++; result = '🤝'; } console.log( ` ${result} ${m.homeTeam?.name?.substring(0, 15).padEnd(15)} ${m.scoreHome}-${m.scoreAway} ${m.awayTeam?.name?.substring(0, 15)}`, ); } const homeFormScore = ((homeWins * 3 + homeDraws) / 30) * 100; console.log( `\n 📊 Özet: ${homeWins}G ${homeDraws}B ${homeLosses}M | ${homeGoalsFor} attı, ${homeGoalsAgainst} yedi`, ); console.log(` ⚡ Form Skoru: ${homeFormScore.toFixed(1)}/100`); // Deplasman son 10 maç const awayMatches = await prisma.match.findMany({ where: { OR: [{ homeTeamId: match.awayTeamId }, { awayTeamId: match.awayTeamId }], sport: 'football', state: 'postGame', scoreHome: { not: null }, scoreAway: { not: null }, }, include: { homeTeam: true, awayTeam: true, league: true }, orderBy: { mstUtc: 'desc' }, take: 10, }); console.log(`\n✈️ ${match.awayTeam?.name} - Son ${awayMatches.length} Maç:`); let awayWins = 0, awayDraws = 0, awayLosses = 0; let awayGoalsFor = 0, awayGoalsAgainst = 0; for (const m of awayMatches) { const isHome = m.homeTeamId === match.awayTeamId; const gf = isHome ? m.scoreHome : m.scoreAway; const ga = isHome ? m.scoreAway : m.scoreHome; awayGoalsFor += gf || 0; awayGoalsAgainst += ga || 0; let result; if (gf > ga) { awayWins++; result = '✅'; } else if (gf < ga) { awayLosses++; result = '❌'; } else { awayDraws++; result = '🤝'; } console.log( ` ${result} ${m.homeTeam?.name?.substring(0, 15).padEnd(15)} ${m.scoreHome}-${m.scoreAway} ${m.awayTeam?.name?.substring(0, 15)}`, ); } const awayFormScore = ((awayWins * 3 + awayDraws) / 30) * 100; console.log( `\n 📊 Özet: ${awayWins}G ${awayDraws}B ${awayLosses}M | ${awayGoalsFor} attı, ${awayGoalsAgainst} yedi`, ); console.log(` ⚡ Form Skoru: ${awayFormScore.toFixed(1)}/100`); const formDiff = homeFormScore - awayFormScore; console.log( `\n📈 Form Farkı: ${formDiff > 0 ? '+' : ''}${formDiff.toFixed(1)} (${formDiff > 0 ? 'Ev lehine' : 'Deplasman lehine'})`, ); // ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ // 3. HEAD-TO-HEAD // ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ console.log( '\n═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════', ); console.log('🔄 3. HEAD-TO-HEAD (Karşılıklı Maçlar)'); console.log( '═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════', ); const h2hMatches = await prisma.match.findMany({ where: { OR: [ { homeTeamId: match.homeTeamId, awayTeamId: match.awayTeamId }, { homeTeamId: match.awayTeamId, awayTeamId: match.homeTeamId }, ], sport: 'football', state: 'postGame', }, include: { homeTeam: true, awayTeam: true }, orderBy: { mstUtc: 'desc' }, take: 5, }); if (h2hMatches.length > 0) { let h2hHomeWins = 0, h2hDraws = 0, h2hAwayWins = 0; for (const m of h2hMatches) { const homeTeamIsHome = m.homeTeamId === match.homeTeamId; const result = m.scoreHome > m.scoreAway ? homeTeamIsHome ? '1' : '2' : m.scoreHome < m.scoreAway ? homeTeamIsHome ? '2' : '1' : 'X'; if (result === '1') h2hHomeWins++; else if (result === '2') h2hAwayWins++; else h2hDraws++; console.log( ` ${m.homeTeam?.name} ${m.scoreHome}-${m.scoreAway} ${m.awayTeam?.name} [${result}]`, ); } console.log( `\n 📊 H2H: ${match.homeTeam?.name} ${h2hHomeWins}G, ${h2hDraws}B, ${match.awayTeam?.name} ${h2hAwayWins}G`, ); } else { console.log(' ⚠️ Karşılıklı maç bulunamadı'); } // ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ // 4. HAKEM ANALİZİ // ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ console.log( '\n═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════', ); console.log('👨‍⚖️ 4. HAKEM ANALİZİ'); console.log( '═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════', ); const mainReferee = match.officials?.find( (o) => o.role?.name === 'Orta Hakem', ); if (mainReferee) { console.log(`\n👤 Hakem: ${mainReferee.name}`); const refereeMatches = await prisma.matchOfficial.findMany({ where: { name: mainReferee.name, roleId: 1 }, include: { match: true }, take: 20, }); let refHomeWins = 0, refDraws = 0, refAwayWins = 0; for (const rm of refereeMatches) { if (rm.match?.scoreHome !== null && rm.match?.scoreAway !== null) { if (rm.match.scoreHome > rm.match.scoreAway) refHomeWins++; else if (rm.match.scoreHome < rm.match.scoreAway) refAwayWins++; else refDraws++; } } const refTotal = refHomeWins + refDraws + refAwayWins; if (refTotal > 0) { console.log(` 📊 Yönettiği ${refTotal} maç:`); console.log( ` Ev sahibi kazanma: %${((refHomeWins / refTotal) * 100).toFixed(1)}`, ); console.log( ` Beraberlik: %${((refDraws / refTotal) * 100).toFixed(1)}`, ); console.log( ` Deplasman kazanma: %${((refAwayWins / refTotal) * 100).toFixed(1)}`, ); } } else { console.log(' ⚠️ Hakem bilgisi yok'); } // ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ // 5. LİG ANALİZİ // ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ console.log( '\n═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════', ); console.log('🏆 5. LİG ANALİZİ'); console.log( '═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════', ); const leagueMatches = await prisma.match.findMany({ where: { leagueId: match.leagueId, sport: 'football', state: 'postGame' }, take: 100, }); let lgHomeWins = 0, lgDraws = 0, lgAwayWins = 0, lgGoals = 0; for (const lm of leagueMatches) { if (lm.scoreHome !== null && lm.scoreAway !== null) { lgGoals += lm.scoreHome + lm.scoreAway; if (lm.scoreHome > lm.scoreAway) lgHomeWins++; else if (lm.scoreHome < lm.scoreAway) lgAwayWins++; else lgDraws++; } } const lgTotal = lgHomeWins + lgDraws + lgAwayWins; if (lgTotal > 0) { console.log( `\n📊 ${match.league?.name} - İstatistikler (son ${lgTotal} maç):`, ); console.log(` Ev kazanma: %${((lgHomeWins / lgTotal) * 100).toFixed(1)}`); console.log(` Beraberlik: %${((lgDraws / lgTotal) * 100).toFixed(1)}`); console.log(` Deplasman: %${((lgAwayWins / lgTotal) * 100).toFixed(1)}`); console.log(` Ortalama gol: ${(lgGoals / lgTotal).toFixed(2)}/maç`); } // ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ // 6. AI FEATURES (VARSa) // ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ if (match.aiFeatures) { console.log( '\n═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════', ); console.log('🤖 6. AI ÖZELLİKLERİ'); console.log( '═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════', ); console.log(`\n Home ELO: ${match.aiFeatures.homeElo.toFixed(0)}`); console.log(` Away ELO: ${match.aiFeatures.awayElo.toFixed(0)}`); console.log(` Home Form: ${match.aiFeatures.homeFormScore.toFixed(1)}`); console.log(` Away Form: ${match.aiFeatures.awayFormScore.toFixed(1)}`); console.log( ` Eksik Oyuncu Etkisi: ${match.aiFeatures.missingPlayersImpact}`, ); } // ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ // FİNAL TAHMİN // ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ console.log('\n'); console.log( '╔══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗', ); console.log( '║ 🎯 GLM-5 FİNAL TAHMİN ║', ); console.log( '╚══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝', ); // Ağırlıklar const w = { odds: 0.4, form: 0.3, home: 0.15, league: 0.15 }; let homeScore = (odds.normHome || 33) * w.odds + homeFormScore * w.form + 8 * w.home + // Ev avantajı (lgHomeWins / lgTotal) * 100 * w.league; let awayScore = (odds.normAway || 33) * w.odds + awayFormScore * w.form + 0 * w.home + (lgAwayWins / lgTotal) * 100 * w.league; let drawScore = (odds.normDraw || 33) * w.odds + (100 - Math.abs(formDiff)) * 0.2 * w.form + (lgDraws / lgTotal) * 100 * w.league; const total = homeScore + drawScore + awayScore; const finalHome = (homeScore / total) * 100; const finalDraw = (drawScore / total) * 100; const finalAway = (awayScore / total) * 100; console.log(`\n📊 Olasılıklar:`); console.log( ` 1 (${match.homeTeam?.name?.substring(0, 15)}): %${finalHome.toFixed(1)}`, ); console.log(` X (Beraberlik): %${finalDraw.toFixed(1)}`); console.log( ` 2 (${match.awayTeam?.name?.substring(0, 15)}): %${finalAway.toFixed(1)}`, ); // Tahmin let prediction, confidence; if (finalHome > finalDraw && finalHome > finalAway) { prediction = '1'; confidence = finalHome; } else if (finalAway > finalDraw) { prediction = '2'; confidence = finalAway; } else { prediction = 'X'; confidence = finalDraw; } // Alt/Üst const avgGoals = (homeGoalsFor + homeGoalsAgainst + awayGoalsFor + awayGoalsAgainst) / 20; const ou25 = avgGoals > 2.5 ? 'ÜST' : 'ALT'; const ou25Conf = Math.min(80, Math.abs(avgGoals - 2.5) * 30 + 50); console.log(`\n🏆 TAHMİN: ${prediction}`); console.log(` Güven: %${confidence.toFixed(1)}`); console.log(`\n⚽ 2.5 ${ou25}`); console.log(` Güven: %${ou25Conf.toFixed(1)}`); console.log(` Beklenen Gol: ${avgGoals.toFixed(2)}`); // Gerçek sonuç (eğer maç bitmişse) if (match.scoreHome !== null && match.scoreAway !== null) { const actual = match.scoreHome > match.scoreAway ? '1' : match.scoreHome < match.scoreAway ? '2' : 'X'; const actualGoals = match.scoreHome + match.scoreAway; const actualOU = actualGoals > 2.5 ? 'ÜST' : 'ALT'; console.log( `\n═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════`, ); console.log(`📊 GERÇEK SONUÇ`); console.log( `═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════`, ); console.log(` Skor: ${match.scoreHome} - ${match.scoreAway}`); console.log(` Sonuç: ${actual}`); console.log(` Alt/Üst: ${actualOU} (${actualGoals} gol)`); const msCorrect = prediction === actual; const ouCorrect = ou25 === actualOU; console.log(`\n 🎯 MS Tahmin: ${msCorrect ? '✅ DOĞRU' : '❌ YANLIŞ'}`); console.log(` 🎯 2.5 Tahmin: ${ouCorrect ? '✅ DOĞRU' : '❌ YANLIŞ'}`); } console.log('\n'); await prisma.$disconnect(); } predictMatch().catch(console.error);