{ "trained_at": "2026-05-10 19:48:06", "trainer": "v25_pro", "optuna_trials": 50, "total_features": 114, "markets": { "MS": { "market": "MS", "samples": 106861, "train": 64116, "val": 16029, "cal": 10686, "test": 16030, "features_used": 114, "xgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 4, "eta": 0.022329400652878233, "subsample": 0.6690795757813364, "colsample_bytree": 0.5042256538541441, "min_child_weight": 6, "gamma": 9.960129417155444e-05, "reg_lambda": 0.5132295377582388, "reg_alpha": 6.804503659726287e-08 }, "lgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 4, "learning_rate": 0.023142410802706542, "feature_fraction": 0.5728681432360808, "bagging_fraction": 0.6781774410065095, "bagging_freq": 2, "min_child_samples": 26, "lambda_l1": 3.25216937188593e-05, "lambda_l2": 4.8081236902660474e-08 }, "xgb_best_iteration": 643, "lgb_best_iteration": 441, "xgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.9155, "lgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.9146, "test_xgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.5442, "logloss": 0.943 }, "test_xgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.5404, "logloss": 0.9438 }, "test_lgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.5427, "logloss": 0.943 }, "test_lgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.5417, "logloss": 0.9447 }, "test_ensemble_raw": { "accuracy": 0.5437, "logloss": 0.9426 }, "test_ensemble_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.5418, "logloss": 0.9435 } }, "OU15": { "market": "OU15", "samples": 106861, "train": 64116, "val": 16029, "cal": 10686, "test": 16030, "features_used": 114, "xgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 5, "eta": 0.020779487257177966, "subsample": 0.8109935286948485, "colsample_bytree": 0.9525413847213635, "min_child_weight": 6, "gamma": 0.35330347775044696, "reg_lambda": 5.373541021746059e-07, "reg_alpha": 0.2959430087754284 }, "lgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 6, "learning_rate": 0.013402310027682367, "feature_fraction": 0.7404728146233901, "bagging_fraction": 0.9712026511549247, "bagging_freq": 6, "min_child_samples": 39, "lambda_l1": 0.39893027986899576, "lambda_l2": 0.0626443611997599 }, "xgb_best_iteration": 353, "lgb_best_iteration": 370, "xgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.499, "lgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.4989, "test_xgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.7521, "logloss": 0.5267 }, "test_xgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.7521, "logloss": 0.5344 }, "test_lgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.7528, "logloss": 0.5261 }, "test_lgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.7505, "logloss": 0.5362 }, "test_ensemble_raw": { "accuracy": 0.7518, "logloss": 0.5261 }, "test_ensemble_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.7522, "logloss": 0.5364 } }, "OU25": { "market": "OU25", "samples": 106861, "train": 64116, "val": 16029, "cal": 10686, "test": 16030, "features_used": 114, "xgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 5, "eta": 0.01274409160014454, "subsample": 0.8300258899365814, "colsample_bytree": 0.7336425662264429, "min_child_weight": 9, "gamma": 2.5382243933649716e-06, "reg_lambda": 5.096723080351853e-05, "reg_alpha": 0.00040919711449493223 }, "lgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 6, "learning_rate": 0.02301514680733822, "feature_fraction": 0.9569492061944688, "bagging_fraction": 0.7249143523144639, "bagging_freq": 1, "min_child_samples": 40, "lambda_l1": 9.954995248644963e-08, "lambda_l2": 3.82413187126927e-06 }, "xgb_best_iteration": 475, "lgb_best_iteration": 235, "xgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.6202, "lgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.62, "test_xgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.6221, "logloss": 0.6352 }, "test_xgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.6226, "logloss": 0.6344 }, "test_lgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.6236, "logloss": 0.6348 }, "test_lgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.6231, "logloss": 0.6343 }, "test_ensemble_raw": { "accuracy": 0.6239, "logloss": 0.6349 }, "test_ensemble_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.6236, "logloss": 0.6338 } }, "OU35": { "market": "OU35", "samples": 106861, "train": 64116, "val": 16029, "cal": 10686, "test": 16030, "features_used": 114, "xgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 4, "eta": 0.012538827444713596, "subsample": 0.7947923612828379, "colsample_bytree": 0.9717654601553765, "min_child_weight": 6, "gamma": 0.011265216242399128, "reg_lambda": 0.12152579364613436, "reg_alpha": 0.013995120492957489 }, "lgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 6, "learning_rate": 0.013456307557939324, "feature_fraction": 0.8208768633332759, "bagging_fraction": 0.929472334516626, "bagging_freq": 6, "min_child_samples": 35, "lambda_l1": 0.05522724221034949, "lambda_l2": 0.21689047644122147 }, "xgb_best_iteration": 696, "lgb_best_iteration": 412, "xgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.552, "lgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.5515, "test_xgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.7314, "logloss": 0.5466 }, "test_xgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.7293, "logloss": 0.5482 }, "test_lgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.73, "logloss": 0.5462 }, "test_lgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.7298, "logloss": 0.5485 }, "test_ensemble_raw": { "accuracy": 0.7312, "logloss": 0.5462 }, "test_ensemble_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.7301, "logloss": 0.5478 } }, "BTTS": { "market": "BTTS", "samples": 106861, "train": 64116, "val": 16029, "cal": 10686, "test": 16030, "features_used": 114, "xgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 4, "eta": 0.023533647209064805, "subsample": 0.7469060816054074, "colsample_bytree": 0.8445418254808608, "min_child_weight": 8, "gamma": 1.0503733400514561e-08, "reg_lambda": 2.0919595769527735e-06, "reg_alpha": 0.027277017326535417 }, "lgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 4, "learning_rate": 0.03900730648793646, "feature_fraction": 0.6968255358438369, "bagging_fraction": 0.7078349435778689, "bagging_freq": 1, "min_child_samples": 46, "lambda_l1": 1.1796591413903922e-05, "lambda_l2": 1.574367227995052e-08 }, "xgb_best_iteration": 462, "lgb_best_iteration": 339, "xgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.6557, "lgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.6554, "test_xgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.5908, "logloss": 0.6637 }, "test_xgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.5885, "logloss": 0.6647 }, "test_lgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.5891, "logloss": 0.6638 }, "test_lgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.5891, "logloss": 0.6702 }, "test_ensemble_raw": { "accuracy": 0.5892, "logloss": 0.6635 }, "test_ensemble_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.5885, "logloss": 0.6655 } }, "HT_RESULT": { "market": "HT_RESULT", "samples": 103641, "train": 62184, "val": 15546, "cal": 10364, "test": 15547, "features_used": 114, "xgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 4, "eta": 0.01736265891311687, "subsample": 0.8370935625192159, "colsample_bytree": 0.8091927356001175, "min_child_weight": 9, "gamma": 0.0006570311316367184, "reg_lambda": 0.5206211670360164, "reg_alpha": 0.0004530536252850605 }, "lgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 4, "learning_rate": 0.04842652289664568, "feature_fraction": 0.6277272818879166, "bagging_fraction": 0.9526964840164693, "bagging_freq": 3, "min_child_samples": 23, "lambda_l1": 0.09429192580834124, "lambda_l2": 5.5433175427148124e-08 }, "xgb_best_iteration": 516, "lgb_best_iteration": 136, "xgb_optuna_best_logloss": 1.0128, "lgb_optuna_best_logloss": 1.0126, "test_xgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.4689, "logloss": 1.0174 }, "test_xgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.4685, "logloss": 1.0193 }, "test_lgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.4696, "logloss": 1.018 }, "test_lgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.4685, "logloss": 1.0248 }, "test_ensemble_raw": { "accuracy": 0.4699, "logloss": 1.0172 }, "test_ensemble_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.4693, "logloss": 1.0195 } }, "HT_OU05": { "market": "HT_OU05", "samples": 103641, "train": 62184, "val": 15546, "cal": 10364, "test": 15547, "features_used": 114, "xgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 4, "eta": 0.02440515089624656, "subsample": 0.7173767988211683, "colsample_bytree": 0.5705266148307722, "min_child_weight": 10, "gamma": 0.00010295747493868653, "reg_lambda": 0.00048367003442154754, "reg_alpha": 0.00018303274057896783 }, "lgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 4, "learning_rate": 0.043477055106943, "feature_fraction": 0.5704621124873813, "bagging_fraction": 0.9208787923016158, "bagging_freq": 1, "min_child_samples": 50, "lambda_l1": 0.015064619068942013, "lambda_l2": 6.143857495033091e-07 }, "xgb_best_iteration": 315, "lgb_best_iteration": 133, "xgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.5756, "lgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.5757, "test_xgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.7021, "logloss": 0.5949 }, "test_xgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.7011, "logloss": 0.5976 }, "test_lgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.7009, "logloss": 0.5954 }, "test_lgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.7019, "logloss": 0.6002 }, "test_ensemble_raw": { "accuracy": 0.7012, "logloss": 0.5947 }, "test_ensemble_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.7016, "logloss": 0.5994 } }, "HT_OU15": { "market": "HT_OU15", "samples": 103641, "train": 62184, "val": 15546, "cal": 10364, "test": 15547, "features_used": 114, "xgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 4, "eta": 0.032235943414662994, "subsample": 0.9298749893021518, "colsample_bytree": 0.8077813949235508, "min_child_weight": 8, "gamma": 0.00020929324388600622, "reg_lambda": 3.2154973975232725e-05, "reg_alpha": 1.5945155621686738e-08 }, "lgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 5, "learning_rate": 0.013909897616748226, "feature_fraction": 0.5585477334219859, "bagging_fraction": 0.9398770580467641, "bagging_freq": 2, "min_child_samples": 22, "lambda_l1": 0.001865897980802303, "lambda_l2": 2.6934572591055333e-06 }, "xgb_best_iteration": 188, "lgb_best_iteration": 387, "xgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.616, "lgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.6159, "test_xgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.6749, "logloss": 0.6109 }, "test_xgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.6747, "logloss": 0.6137 }, "test_lgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.6745, "logloss": 0.6112 }, "test_lgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.6745, "logloss": 0.6201 }, "test_ensemble_raw": { "accuracy": 0.674, "logloss": 0.6109 }, "test_ensemble_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.6744, "logloss": 0.6174 } }, "HTFT": { "market": "HTFT", "samples": 103641, "train": 62184, "val": 15546, "cal": 10364, "test": 15547, "features_used": 114, "xgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 4, "eta": 0.015239309183459821, "subsample": 0.7923828997985648, "colsample_bytree": 0.686316507387916, "min_child_weight": 6, "gamma": 0.005249577944740401, "reg_lambda": 2.1813455810361064e-08, "reg_alpha": 3.454483107951557e-06 }, "lgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 4, "learning_rate": 0.010347899501864056, "feature_fraction": 0.9585697341293057, "bagging_fraction": 0.9413628962257758, "bagging_freq": 2, "min_child_samples": 36, "lambda_l1": 0.0015332771659626943, "lambda_l2": 7.3640280079715765 }, "xgb_best_iteration": 714, "lgb_best_iteration": 602, "xgb_optuna_best_logloss": 1.7863, "lgb_optuna_best_logloss": 1.7862, "test_xgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.3349, "logloss": 1.8179 }, "test_xgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.3332, "logloss": 1.824 }, "test_lgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.3367, "logloss": 1.8187 }, "test_lgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.335, "logloss": 1.8338 }, "test_ensemble_raw": { "accuracy": 0.3363, "logloss": 1.8176 }, "test_ensemble_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.3338, "logloss": 1.828 } }, "ODD_EVEN": { "market": "ODD_EVEN", "samples": 106861, "train": 64116, "val": 16029, "cal": 10686, "test": 16030, "features_used": 114, "xgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 8, "eta": 0.01010929937405026, "subsample": 0.9492996501687384, "colsample_bytree": 0.9061960005014683, "min_child_weight": 7, "gamma": 2.664416507237002e-08, "reg_lambda": 0.0003748192960525308, "reg_alpha": 0.005287068300306146 }, "lgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 8, "learning_rate": 0.0634879805509945, "feature_fraction": 0.9993568368122896, "bagging_fraction": 0.9246236397710591, "bagging_freq": 3, "min_child_samples": 16, "lambda_l1": 0.0016414429853061781, "lambda_l2": 6.112007631403553e-05 }, "xgb_best_iteration": 322, "lgb_best_iteration": 55, "xgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.6777, "lgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.6762, "test_xgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.5216, "logloss": 0.684 }, "test_xgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.5236, "logloss": 0.6834 }, "test_lgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.5279, "logloss": 0.6826 }, "test_lgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.5274, "logloss": 0.6861 }, "test_ensemble_raw": { "accuracy": 0.5239, "logloss": 0.6828 }, "test_ensemble_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.5236, "logloss": 0.6861 } }, "CARDS_OU45": { "market": "CARDS_OU45", "samples": 106861, "train": 64116, "val": 16029, "cal": 10686, "test": 16030, "features_used": 114, "xgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 8, "eta": 0.010098671964329344, "subsample": 0.9969616653360747, "colsample_bytree": 0.5085930751344795, "min_child_weight": 10, "gamma": 0.8600893137103568, "reg_lambda": 7.556243125116086, "reg_alpha": 0.5596869360839299 }, "lgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 8, "learning_rate": 0.0183440412249233, "feature_fraction": 0.5416111323291537, "bagging_fraction": 0.9754210612419695, "bagging_freq": 2, "min_child_samples": 5, "lambda_l1": 0.09157782079463243, "lambda_l2": 2.559000594641019 }, "xgb_best_iteration": 973, "lgb_best_iteration": 503, "xgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.6408, "lgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.6407, "test_xgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.597, "logloss": 0.6501 }, "test_xgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.6019, "logloss": 0.6471 }, "test_lgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.5977, "logloss": 0.6486 }, "test_lgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.6019, "logloss": 0.6498 }, "test_ensemble_raw": { "accuracy": 0.5964, "logloss": 0.6487 }, "test_ensemble_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.6034, "logloss": 0.6467 } }, "HANDICAP_MS": { "market": "HANDICAP_MS", "samples": 106861, "train": 64116, "val": 16029, "cal": 10686, "test": 16030, "features_used": 114, "xgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 4, "eta": 0.01475719431584365, "subsample": 0.867899230696633, "colsample_bytree": 0.6518567347674479, "min_child_weight": 9, "gamma": 0.34932767754310273, "reg_lambda": 3.3257801082201637e-07, "reg_alpha": 4.6977721450875555e-06 }, "lgb_best_params": { "max_depth": 7, "learning_rate": 0.019649745228555244, "feature_fraction": 0.7903699430858344, "bagging_fraction": 0.7932436899357213, "bagging_freq": 3, "min_child_samples": 30, "lambda_l1": 9.496143774926949e-08, "lambda_l2": 0.0049885051588706136 }, "xgb_best_iteration": 1016, "lgb_best_iteration": 364, "xgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.8328, "lgb_optuna_best_logloss": 0.8322, "test_xgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.6062, "logloss": 0.871 }, "test_xgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.6039, "logloss": 0.8729 }, "test_lgb_raw": { "accuracy": 0.6079, "logloss": 0.8713 }, "test_lgb_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.6067, "logloss": 0.8736 }, "test_ensemble_raw": { "accuracy": 0.6072, "logloss": 0.8707 }, "test_ensemble_calibrated": { "accuracy": 0.6066, "logloss": 0.8728 } } } }