"""
Detailed Backtest with 50 Top League Matches
============================================
Runs AI Engine predictions on 50 real historical matches and shows
exactly which predictions were correct and which were skipped.

Usage:
    python ai-engine/scripts/backtest_50_detailed.py
"""

import os
import sys
import json
import time
import psycopg2
from psycopg2.extras import RealDictCursor

# Add paths
AI_DIR = os.path.dirname(os.path.abspath(__file__))
ROOT_DIR = os.path.dirname(AI_DIR)
sys.path.insert(0, ROOT_DIR)

if "scripts" in os.path.basename(AI_DIR):
    ROOT_DIR = os.path.dirname(ROOT_DIR)

from services.single_match_orchestrator import get_single_match_orchestrator

def get_clean_dsn() -> str:
    return "postgresql://suggestbet:SuGGesT2026SecuRe@localhost:15432/boilerplate_db"

# 50 Match IDs from the query
MATCH_IDS = [
    "v2ljcst50nk37x04xwimpi50", "7gz0bhb5yvdssazl3y5946kno", "7ftj7kbu4rzpewxravf3luuc4",
    "7f1z4e8ch1dm5q677644cky6s", "7ffq3aq3so22iymfdzch63nys", "rrkmeuymz7gzvoz8mplikzdg",
    "7hegc9covicy699bxsi81xkb8", "7gl7rpr1hjayk3e5ut0gr613o", "7g7d86i3738287xfvyfeffcwk",
    "7hs4boe4hv80muawocevvx2j8", "7ijhsloieg4t9yp5cxp0duln8", "7ixaiiptli5ek32kuybuni4gk",
    "7i5sfh41cjpwg4l972dm487x0", "eo7g4wunxxxr8uv45q8p5x638", "7dinds2937w4645wva2rddlas",
    "7b5ukdhvqh62wtndeqfg01ixg", "7bjptsj24gndoydn7n0202g44", "7cqxf3vo58ewrwmoom5xiyexg",
    "7bxjl9h2hnf165rlp3o1vfztg", "7eo8zrez08c342rqsezpvq39w", "7as1muhs98vdarlhsean4bspg",
    "7dwhj8cfxv6v6bzxpu5e3h05w", "7d4vq4417ps84yjzh95bnvvv8", "7ea9z501jgp9kxw3gay4myrkk",
    "7cd3401itlty6ded7c1wct0yc", "ebgpz9mcije2snv986n6587pw", "i7ar1dkhvcwpxmkyks65ib6c",
    "lyek7tyy6qk2xjs9vblucnx0", "hdn9qtyn3ysjwbc3i2trantg", "3y2bnssfqlajosiz2gpkn6xhw",
    "40pehd14s9djjtycujavbex3o", "3xnbfjznzmnwml20akbgnis5w", "2eovi2rcc2l4ha7fpb2w7e1hw",
    "2bwuikdjyyuithhru8ka8o00k", "2d3pcd76ya9ihi9yotxc553is", "1e9it04z4epy2etdxsffe7m6s",
    "7af49jgo4iulv1k8cplj9smj8", "5k3vrz619hdu9nx4rnx6uim1g", "amjppgpetnyr0iisi241kgkyc",
    "coqrhq09kxd16iejvgtzj3mz8", "d8ysan1qdctmkvjaz2adw7aqc", "9ttciz0gtb0z09ev1q5fe0ro4",
    "9u720o37yaddqu1w6hlszpnh0", "7ijezdjp8t0rjti91ac63hyxg", "72gvdvztbb3dn79jidzzxzcb8",
    "6uof1v2s6vrpieeml2bwo9tlg", "91dd8ia3m0bxoqzjgyo3ptsk", "3tj1nt3udsbvb9soqn2cs6gpg",
    "1br5g88o5idtjxka1fr6zg4k4", "akuesquthbmxlzckvnqmgles4"
]

def run_detailed_backtest():
    print("🚀 DETAILED BACKTEST: 50 Top League Matches")
    print("🧠 Engine: V30 Ensemble (V20+V25) + Skip Logic")
    print("="*80)

    dsn = get_clean_dsn()
    conn = psycopg2.connect(dsn)
    cur = conn.cursor(cursor_factory=RealDictCursor)

    # Fetch match details with odds
    placeholders = ','.join(['%s'] * len(MATCH_IDS))
    cur.execute(f"""
        SELECT m.id, m.match_name, m.home_team_id, m.away_team_id,
               m.score_home, m.score_away, m.league_id,
               t1.name as home_team, t2.name as away_team,
               l.name as league_name
        FROM matches m
        LEFT JOIN teams t1 ON m.home_team_id = t1.id
        LEFT JOIN teams t2 ON m.away_team_id = t2.id
        LEFT JOIN leagues l ON m.league_id = l.id
        WHERE m.id IN ({placeholders})
          AND m.status = 'FT'
        ORDER BY m.mst_utc DESC
    """, MATCH_IDS)
    
    rows = cur.fetchall()
    print(f"📊 Found {len(rows)} matches. Starting AI Analysis...")

    if not rows:
        print("⚠️ No matches found.")
        cur.close()
        conn.close()
        return

    # Initialize AI Engine
    try:
        orchestrator = get_single_match_orchestrator()
        print("✅ AI Engine Loaded.\n")
    except Exception as e:
        print(f"❌ Failed to load AI Engine: {e}")
        cur.close()
        conn.close()
        return

    # ─── Backtest Loop ───
    results = []
    total_skipped = 0
    total_played = 0
    total_won = 0
    total_profit = 0.0
    MIN_CONF = 45.0

    start_time = time.time()

    for i, row in enumerate(rows):
        match_id = str(row['id'])
        home_team = row['home_team'] or "Unknown"
        away_team = row['away_team'] or "Unknown"
        league = row['league_name'] or "Unknown"
        home_score = row['score_home'] or 0
        away_score = row['score_away'] or 0
        total_goals = home_score + away_score

        print(f"[{i+1}/{len(rows)}] {home_team} vs {away_team} ({league}) ... ", end="", flush=True)

        try:
            prediction = orchestrator.analyze_match(match_id)
            
            if not prediction:
                print("⚠️ No prediction")
                continue

            # Extract Main Pick
            main_pick = prediction.get("main_pick") or {}
            pick_name = main_pick.get("pick", "")
            confidence = main_pick.get("confidence", 0)
            odds = main_pick.get("odds", 0)

            # Apply Skip Logic
            if confidence < MIN_CONF:
                print(f"🚫 SKIP (Conf {confidence:.0f}%)")
                total_skipped += 1
                results.append({"match": f"{home_team} vs {away_team}", "pick": pick_name, 
                               "conf": confidence, "odds": odds, "result": "SKIPPED", "profit": 0})
                continue

            if odds > 0:
                implied_prob = 1.0 / odds
                my_prob = confidence / 100.0
                if my_prob - implied_prob < -0.03:
                    print(f"🚫 SKIP (Bad Value)")
                    total_skipped += 1
                    results.append({"match": f"{home_team} vs {away_team}", "pick": pick_name, 
                                   "conf": confidence, "odds": odds, "result": "SKIPPED", "profit": 0})
                    continue

            # Bet Played
            total_played += 1
            won = False

            # Resolve
            pick_clean = str(pick_name).upper()
            if pick_clean in ["1", "MS 1", "İY 1"] and home_score > away_score: won = True
            elif pick_clean in ["X", "MS X", "İY X"] and home_score == away_score: won = True
            elif pick_clean in ["2", "MS 2", "İY 2"] and away_score > home_score: won = True
            elif pick_clean in ["1X", "X2"] or ("1X" in pick_clean or "X2" in pick_clean):
                if "1X" in pick_clean and home_score >= away_score: won = True
                elif "X2" in pick_clean and away_score >= home_score: won = True
            elif pick_clean in ["12"] and home_score != away_score: won = True
            elif "ÜST" in pick_clean or "OVER" in pick_clean:
                line = 2.5
                if "1.5" in pick_clean: line = 1.5
                elif "3.5" in pick_clean: line = 3.5
                if total_goals > line: won = True
            elif "ALT" in pick_clean or "UNDER" in pick_clean:
                line = 2.5
                if "1.5" in pick_clean: line = 1.5
                elif "3.5" in pick_clean: line = 3.5
                if total_goals < line: won = True
            elif "VAR" in pick_clean and home_score > 0 and away_score > 0: won = True
            elif "YOK" in pick_clean and (home_score == 0 or away_score == 0): won = True

            if won:
                total_won += 1
                profit = odds - 1.0
                print(f"✅ WON ({pick_name} @ {odds:.2f}, +{profit:.2f})")
            else:
                profit = -1.0
                print(f"❌ LOST ({pick_name} @ {odds:.2f})")
            
            total_profit += profit
            results.append({"match": f"{home_team} vs {away_team}", "pick": pick_name, 
                           "conf": confidence, "odds": odds, 
                           "result": "WON" if won else "LOST", "profit": profit,
                           "score": f"{home_score}-{away_score}"})

        except Exception as e:
            print(f"💥 Error: {e}")

    elapsed = time.time() - start_time

    # ─── DETAILED REPORT ───
    print("\n" + "="*80)
    print("📈 DETAILED BACKTEST RESULTS")
    print(f"⏱️  Time: {elapsed:.1f}s")
    print("="*80)
    print(f"📊 Total Matches: {len(rows)}")
    print(f"🚫 Skipped: {total_skipped}")
    print(f"🎲 Played: {total_played}")
    print(f"✅ Won: {total_won}")
    print(f"💀 Lost: {total_played - total_won}")
    print(f"💰 Profit: {total_profit:+.2f} units")
    
    if total_played > 0:
        win_rate = (total_won / total_played) * 100
        roi = (total_profit / total_played) * 100
        print(f"📊 Win Rate: {win_rate:.1f}%")
        print(f"📊 ROI: {roi:.1f}%")
        if roi > 0:
            print("🟢 STRATEGY IS PROFITABLE!")
        else:
            print("🔴 STRATEGY IS LOSING")

    # ─── TABLE OF ALL RESULTS ───
    print("\n" + "="*80)
    print("📋 DETAILED MATCH RESULTS")
    print("="*80)
    print(f"{'Match':<40} {'Pick':<15} {'Conf':<6} {'Odds':<6} {'Result':<8} {'Score':<6}")
    print("-"*80)
    for r in results:
        match_str = r['match'][:38]
        pick_str = str(r['pick'])[:13]
        conf_str = f"{r['conf']:.0f}%"
        odds_str = f"{r['odds']:.2f}" if r['odds'] > 0 else "N/A"
        res_str = r['result']
        score_str = r.get('score', '')
        
        # Color coding
        if res_str == "WON": res_display = f"✅ {res_str}"
        elif res_str == "LOST": res_display = f"❌ {res_str}"
        else: res_display = f"🚫 {res_str}"
            
        print(f"{match_str:<40} {pick_str:<15} {conf_str:<6} {odds_str:<6} {res_display:<12} {score_str:<6}")

    cur.close()
    conn.close()

if __name__ == "__main__":
    run_detailed_backtest()