Add backtest pipeline, betting_brain filters, score coherence + social v3
betting_brain.py: - HARD_MIN_SAMPLES=50 floor for calibrator bypass - ev_edge < 0 + >= 0.20 hard vetoes - BTTS muted (grid search found no profitable config) - Per-market optimal envelopes (MS, OU25) - Score coherence filter: main_pick must agree with score prediction - HTFT reversal cross-check for MS picks feature_builder.py / data_loader.py: - Real home/away_position from data (was hardcoded 10) - Cup detection wired into UpsetEngine - _estimate_league_position with 300-day season filter New scripts: - diagnostic_backtest.py: per-bet diagnostic backtest with loss patterns - optimize_filters.py: grid search per-market optimal thresholds - analyze_backtest_csv.py: root-cause hypothesis testing on CSV - compare_backtests.py: side-by-side validation with verdict - test_score_coherence.py: smoke test for coherence filter (20/20 pass) Reports: - diagnostic_backtest_20260525_024437 (50-match smoke) - diagnostic_backtest_20260525_035649 (1000-match in-sample) - filter_optimization_patch.json (grid search winners per market) Social poster v3: - satori + resvg HTML/CSS rendering pipeline - Twemoji football/basketball + flag SVGs - caption SEO: 12 curated hashtags per post - image SEO: descriptive filenames + .json metadata sidecar - /health, /preview-png, /run-now endpoints Docs: - mds/SESSION_HANDOFF.md: full session state for cross-machine continuity - mds/SOCIAL_POSTER_SETUP.md: API keys + test commands Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
|
||||
<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 36 36"><circle fill="#F5F8FA" cx="18" cy="18" r="18"/><path d="M18 11c-.552 0-1-.448-1-1V3c0-.552.448-1 1-1s1 .448 1 1v7c0 .552-.448 1-1 1zm-6.583 4.5c-.1 0-.202-.015-.302-.047l-8.041-2.542c-.527-.167-.819-.728-.652-1.255.166-.527.73-.818 1.255-.652l8.042 2.542c.527.167.819.729.652 1.255-.136.426-.53.699-.954.699zm13.625-.291c-.434 0-.833-.285-.96-.722-.154-.531.151-1.085.682-1.239l6.75-1.958c.531-.153 1.085.153 1.238.682.154.531-.151 1.085-.682 1.239l-6.75 1.958c-.092.027-.186.04-.278.04zm2.001 14.958c-.306 0-.606-.14-.803-.403l-5.459-7.333c-.33-.442-.238-1.069.205-1.399.442-.331 1.069-.238 1.399.205l5.459 7.333c.33.442.238 1.069-.205 1.399-.179.134-.389.198-.596.198zm-18.294-.083c-.197 0-.395-.058-.57-.179-.454-.316-.565-.938-.25-1.392l5.125-7.375c.315-.454.938-.566 1.392-.251.454.315.565.939.25 1.392l-5.125 7.375c-.194.281-.506.43-.822.43zM3.5 27.062c-.44 0-.844-.293-.965-.738L.347 18.262c-.145-.533.17-1.082.704-1.227.535-.141 1.083.171 1.227.704l2.188 8.062c.145.533-.17 1.082-.704 1.226-.088.025-.176.035-.262.035zM22 34h-9c-.552 0-1-.447-1-1s.448-1 1-1h9c.553 0 1 .447 1 1s-.447 1-1 1zm10.126-6.875c-.079 0-.16-.009-.24-.029-.536-.132-.864-.674-.731-1.21l2.125-8.625c.133-.536.679-.862 1.21-.732.536.132.864.674.731 1.211l-2.125 8.625c-.113.455-.521.76-.97.76zM30.312 7.688c-.17 0-.342-.043-.5-.134L22.25 3.179c-.478-.277-.642-.888-.364-1.367.275-.478.886-.643 1.366-.365l7.562 4.375c.478.277.642.888.364 1.367-.185.32-.521.499-.866.499zm-24.811 0c-.312 0-.618-.145-.813-.417-.322-.45-.22-1.074.229-1.396l6.188-4.438c.449-.322 1.074-.219 1.396.229.322.449.219 1.074-.229 1.396L6.083 7.5c-.177.126-.38.188-.582.188z" fill="#CCD6DD"/><path d="M25.493 13.516l-7.208-5.083c-.348-.245-.814-.243-1.161.006l-7.167 5.167c-.343.248-.494.684-.375 1.091l2.5 8.583c.124.426.515.72.96.72H22c.43 0 .81-.274.948-.681l2.917-8.667c.141-.419-.011-.881-.372-1.136zM1.292 19.542c.058 0 .117-.005.175-.016.294-.052.55-.233.697-.494l3.375-6c.051-.091.087-.188.108-.291L6.98 6.2c.06-.294-.016-.6-.206-.832C6.584 5.135 6.3 5 6 5h-.428C2.145 8.277 0 12.884 0 18c0 .266.028.525.04.788l.602.514c.182.156.413.24.65.24zm9.325-16.547c.106.219.313.373.553.412l6.375 1.042c.04.006.081.01.121.01.04 0 .081-.003.122-.01l6.084-1c.2-.033.38-.146.495-.314.116-.168.158-.375.118-.575l-.292-1.443C22.26.407 20.18 0 18 0c-2.425 0-4.734.486-6.845 1.356l-.521.95c-.117.213-.123.47-.017.689zm20.517 2.724l-1.504-.095c-.228-.013-.455.076-.609.249-.152.173-.218.402-.175.63l1.167 6.198c.017.086.048.148.093.224 1.492 2.504 3.152 5.301 3.381 5.782.024.084.062.079.114.151.14.195.372.142.612.142h.007c.198 0 .323.094 1.768-.753.001-.083.012-.164.012-.247 0-4.753-1.856-9.064-4.866-12.281zM14.541 33.376c.011-.199-.058-.395-.191-.544l-4.5-5c-.06-.066-.131-.122-.211-.163-5.885-3.069-5.994-3.105-6.066-3.13-.078-.025-.161-.039-.242-.039-.537 0-.695.065-1.185 2.024 2.236 4.149 6.053 7.316 10.644 8.703l1.5-1.333c.149-.132.239-.319.251-.518zm17.833-8.567c-.189-.08-.405-.078-.592.005l-6.083 2.667c-.106.046-.2.116-.274.205l-4.25 5.083c-.129.154-.19.352-.172.552.02.2.117.384.272.51.683.559 1.261 1.03 1.767 1.44 4.437-1.294 8.154-4.248 10.454-8.146l-.712-1.889c-.072-.193-.221-.347-.41-.427z" fill="#31373D"/></svg>
|
||||
|
After Width: | Height: | Size: 3.2 KiB |
Reference in New Issue
Block a user