gg

2026-05-24 02:58:53 +03:00
parent 02f9aea333
commit 920ae7ce38
31 changed files with 2251 additions and 0 deletions
@@ -0,0 +1,46 @@
+[
+  "mst_utc",
+  "home_overall_elo",
+  "away_overall_elo",
+  "elo_diff",
+  "home_home_elo",
+  "away_away_elo",
+  "home_form_elo",
+  "away_form_elo",
+  "form_elo_diff",
+  "home_goals_avg",
+  "home_conceded_avg",
+  "away_goals_avg",
+  "away_conceded_avg",
+  "home_clean_sheet_rate",
+  "away_clean_sheet_rate",
+  "home_scoring_rate",
+  "away_scoring_rate",
+  "home_winning_streak",
+  "away_winning_streak",
+  "home_unbeaten_streak",
+  "away_unbeaten_streak",
+  "h2h_total_matches",
+  "h2h_home_win_rate",
+  "h2h_draw_rate",
+  "h2h_avg_goals",
+  "h2h_btts_rate",
+  "h2h_over25_rate",
+  "home_avg_possession",
+  "away_avg_possession",
+  "home_avg_shots_on_target",
+  "away_avg_shots_on_target",
+  "home_shot_conversion",
+  "away_shot_conversion",
+  "home_avg_corners",
+  "away_avg_corners",
+  "home_xga",
+  "away_xga",
+  "league_avg_goals",
+  "league_zero_goal_rate",
+  "upset_atmosphere",
+  "upset_potential",
+  "home_momentum_score",
+  "away_momentum_score",
+  "momentum_diff"
+]
@@ -0,0 +1,45 @@
+feature,importance
+elo_diff,53432.7142560482
+form_elo_diff,18292.591957569122
+league_zero_goal_rate,12051.094537258148
+home_avg_possession,10697.8805205822
+league_avg_goals,9966.535993814468
+home_home_elo,9413.749160051346
+home_avg_shots_on_target,9224.094612121582
+away_avg_possession,9000.678180932999
+away_overall_elo,8931.0359852314
+away_away_elo,8706.092560768127
+away_avg_shots_on_target,8604.977019071579
+home_shot_conversion,8132.601410150528
+mst_utc,7753.055005311966
+home_form_elo,7741.581079244614
+home_overall_elo,7505.358977794647
+away_shot_conversion,7395.852544546127
+home_momentum_score,6919.510271787643
+away_momentum_score,6735.586140155792
+away_form_elo,6666.001588344574
+momentum_diff,6153.129729270935
+home_conceded_avg,6057.355793476105
+away_goals_avg,5786.6727023124695
+home_goals_avg,5578.407870054245
+away_conceded_avg,5390.642956972122
+h2h_avg_goals,2773.622985124588
+upset_potential,2514.9942483901978
+h2h_home_win_rate,2294.2361340522766
+h2h_draw_rate,2289.916918992996
+away_xga,1799.381638288498
+home_xga,1677.825749874115
+h2h_total_matches,1582.4059388637543
+away_unbeaten_streak,1362.1424307823181
+home_scoring_rate,1311.8162519931793
+h2h_btts_rate,1311.6885483264923
+away_scoring_rate,1230.6326246261597
+home_clean_sheet_rate,1225.2984809875488
+away_clean_sheet_rate,1224.717898607254
+home_unbeaten_streak,1203.53671169281
+h2h_over25_rate,1174.4284386634827
+away_winning_streak,1110.759458065033
+home_winning_streak,935.4682683944702
+upset_atmosphere,221.20963144302368
+home_avg_corners,23.363860368728638
+away_avg_corners,0.0
@@ -0,0 +1,18 @@
+{
+  "version": "v27-pro",
+  "trained_at": "2026-05-06 15:51:05",
+  "approach": "odds-free fundamentals + value edge detection",
+  "feature_count": 44,
+  "total_samples": 90432,
+  "val_acc": 0.489,
+  "val_ll": 1.0252,
+  "best_config": {
+    "edge": 0.12,
+    "min_odds": 1.7
+  },
+  "markets": [
+    "ms",
+    "ou25",
+    "btts"
+  ]
+}