feat(ai-engine): value sniper thresholds and logic relaxed
This commit is contained in:
@@ -1,8 +1,8 @@
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{
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"trained_at": "2026-04-14 17:20:03",
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"trained_at": "2026-05-06 15:53:36",
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"home_overall_elo",
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"away_overall_elo",
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@@ -107,19 +107,19 @@
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"home_goals_form",
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"away_goals_form"
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],
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"lgb_logloss": 0.9423,
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"ensemble_logloss": 0.9418,
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},
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"OU15": {
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"samples": 106428,
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"features_used": [
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"home_overall_elo",
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"away_overall_elo",
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@@ -224,19 +224,19 @@
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"home_goals_form",
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"away_goals_form"
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],
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.7533,
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"ensemble_logloss": 0.5254,
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"home_overall_elo",
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"away_overall_elo",
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@@ -341,19 +341,19 @@
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"home_goals_form",
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"away_goals_form"
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],
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"test_samples": 1469,
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"xgb_logloss": 0.1535,
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"lgb_logloss": 0.1523,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.9217,
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"ensemble_logloss": 0.1518,
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"train_samples": 74499,
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"val_samples": 15964,
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"test_samples": 15965,
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"xgb_accuracy": 0.6253,
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"xgb_logloss": 0.635,
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"lgb_accuracy": 0.6246,
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"lgb_logloss": 0.6347,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.6262,
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"ensemble_logloss": 0.6343,
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"class_count": 2
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},
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"OU35": {
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"samples": 9791,
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"samples": 106428,
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"features_used": [
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"home_overall_elo",
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"away_overall_elo",
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@@ -458,19 +458,19 @@
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"home_goals_form",
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"away_goals_form"
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],
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"train_samples": 6853,
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"val_samples": 1469,
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"test_samples": 1469,
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"xgb_accuracy": 0.9578,
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"xgb_logloss": 0.1171,
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"lgb_accuracy": 0.9564,
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"lgb_logloss": 0.1144,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.9571,
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"ensemble_logloss": 0.1149,
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"train_samples": 74499,
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"val_samples": 15964,
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"test_samples": 15965,
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"xgb_accuracy": 0.7283,
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"xgb_logloss": 0.5463,
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"lgb_accuracy": 0.7304,
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"lgb_logloss": 0.546,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.7297,
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"ensemble_logloss": 0.5456,
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"class_count": 2
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},
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"BTTS": {
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"samples": 9791,
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"samples": 106428,
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"features_used": [
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"home_overall_elo",
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"away_overall_elo",
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@@ -575,19 +575,19 @@
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"home_goals_form",
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"away_goals_form"
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],
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"train_samples": 6853,
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"val_samples": 1469,
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"test_samples": 1469,
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"xgb_accuracy": 0.9238,
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"xgb_logloss": 0.1439,
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"lgb_accuracy": 0.9265,
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"lgb_logloss": 0.143,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.9265,
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"ensemble_logloss": 0.1424,
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"train_samples": 74499,
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"val_samples": 15964,
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"test_samples": 15965,
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"xgb_accuracy": 0.5894,
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"xgb_logloss": 0.6636,
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"lgb_accuracy": 0.5928,
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"lgb_logloss": 0.6633,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.5897,
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"ensemble_logloss": 0.6628,
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"class_count": 2
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},
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"HT_RESULT": {
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"samples": 9786,
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"samples": 103208,
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"features_used": [
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"home_overall_elo",
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"away_overall_elo",
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@@ -692,19 +692,19 @@
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"home_goals_form",
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"away_goals_form"
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],
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"train_samples": 6850,
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"val_samples": 1468,
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"test_samples": 1468,
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"xgb_accuracy": 0.5627,
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"xgb_logloss": 0.8712,
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"lgb_accuracy": 0.5715,
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"lgb_logloss": 0.8649,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.5811,
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"ensemble_logloss": 0.8649,
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"train_samples": 72245,
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"val_samples": 15481,
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"test_samples": 15482,
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"xgb_accuracy": 0.4695,
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"xgb_logloss": 1.0174,
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"lgb_accuracy": 0.4677,
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"lgb_logloss": 1.0166,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.4688,
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"ensemble_logloss": 1.0164,
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"class_count": 3
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},
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"HT_OU05": {
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"samples": 9786,
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"samples": 103208,
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"features_used": [
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"home_overall_elo",
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"away_overall_elo",
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@@ -809,19 +809,19 @@
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"home_goals_form",
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"away_goals_form"
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],
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"train_samples": 6850,
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"val_samples": 1468,
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"test_samples": 1468,
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"xgb_accuracy": 0.7221,
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"xgb_logloss": 0.5122,
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"lgb_logloss": 0.5092,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.7275,
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"ensemble_logloss": 0.5084,
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"train_samples": 72245,
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"val_samples": 15481,
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"test_samples": 15482,
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"xgb_accuracy": 0.7011,
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"xgb_logloss": 0.5939,
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"lgb_accuracy": 0.7002,
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"lgb_logloss": 0.5936,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.7009,
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"ensemble_logloss": 0.5932,
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"class_count": 2
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},
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"HT_OU15": {
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"samples": 9786,
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"samples": 103208,
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"features_used": [
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"home_overall_elo",
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"away_overall_elo",
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@@ -926,19 +926,19 @@
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"home_goals_form",
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"away_goals_form"
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],
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"train_samples": 6850,
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"val_samples": 1468,
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"test_samples": 1468,
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"xgb_accuracy": 0.752,
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"xgb_logloss": 0.5252,
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"lgb_accuracy": 0.7595,
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"lgb_logloss": 0.5213,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.7595,
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"ensemble_logloss": 0.5192,
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"train_samples": 72245,
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"val_samples": 15481,
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"test_samples": 15482,
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"xgb_accuracy": 0.6723,
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"xgb_logloss": 0.6126,
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"lgb_accuracy": 0.6736,
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"lgb_logloss": 0.6118,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.6734,
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"ensemble_logloss": 0.6117,
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"class_count": 2
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},
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"HTFT": {
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"samples": 9786,
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"samples": 103208,
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"features_used": [
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"home_overall_elo",
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"away_overall_elo",
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@@ -1043,19 +1043,19 @@
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"home_goals_form",
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"away_goals_form"
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],
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"train_samples": 6850,
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"val_samples": 1468,
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"test_samples": 1468,
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"xgb_accuracy": 0.5136,
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"xgb_logloss": 1.1384,
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"lgb_accuracy": 0.5184,
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"lgb_logloss": 1.1469,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.5143,
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"ensemble_logloss": 1.1339,
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"train_samples": 72245,
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"val_samples": 15481,
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"test_samples": 15482,
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"xgb_accuracy": 0.3337,
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"xgb_logloss": 1.8208,
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"lgb_accuracy": 0.3332,
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"lgb_logloss": 1.8203,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.3358,
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"ensemble_logloss": 1.8186,
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"class_count": 9
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},
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"ODD_EVEN": {
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"samples": 9791,
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"samples": 106428,
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"features_used": [
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"home_overall_elo",
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"away_overall_elo",
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@@ -1160,19 +1160,19 @@
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"home_goals_form",
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"away_goals_form"
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],
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"train_samples": 6853,
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"val_samples": 1469,
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"test_samples": 1469,
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"xgb_accuracy": 0.8863,
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"xgb_logloss": 0.3565,
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"lgb_accuracy": 0.8802,
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"lgb_logloss": 0.3338,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.8863,
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"ensemble_logloss": 0.3423,
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"train_samples": 74499,
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"val_samples": 15964,
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"test_samples": 15965,
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"xgb_accuracy": 0.5296,
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"xgb_logloss": 0.6841,
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"lgb_accuracy": 0.5359,
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"lgb_logloss": 0.6822,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.531,
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"ensemble_logloss": 0.6826,
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"class_count": 2
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},
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"CARDS_OU45": {
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"samples": 9791,
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"samples": 106428,
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"features_used": [
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"home_overall_elo",
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"away_overall_elo",
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@@ -1277,19 +1277,19 @@
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"home_goals_form",
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"away_goals_form"
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],
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"train_samples": 6853,
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"val_samples": 1469,
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"test_samples": 1469,
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"xgb_accuracy": 0.6283,
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"xgb_logloss": 0.6174,
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"lgb_accuracy": 0.6413,
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"lgb_logloss": 0.615,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.6372,
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"ensemble_logloss": 0.6142,
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"train_samples": 74499,
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"val_samples": 15964,
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"test_samples": 15965,
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"xgb_accuracy": 0.6009,
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"xgb_logloss": 0.6489,
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"lgb_accuracy": 0.5988,
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"lgb_logloss": 0.6487,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.6024,
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"ensemble_logloss": 0.6479,
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"class_count": 2
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},
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"HANDICAP_MS": {
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"samples": 9791,
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"samples": 106428,
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"features_used": [
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"home_overall_elo",
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"away_overall_elo",
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@@ -1394,15 +1394,15 @@
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"home_goals_form",
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"away_goals_form"
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],
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"train_samples": 6853,
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"val_samples": 1469,
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"xgb_accuracy": 0.936,
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"xgb_logloss": 0.1903,
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"lgb_accuracy": 0.9346,
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"lgb_logloss": 0.1843,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.936,
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"ensemble_logloss": 0.1861,
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"train_samples": 74499,
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"val_samples": 15964,
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"test_samples": 15965,
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"xgb_accuracy": 0.6058,
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"xgb_logloss": 0.8691,
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"lgb_accuracy": 0.608,
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"lgb_logloss": 0.8677,
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"ensemble_accuracy": 0.6068,
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"ensemble_logloss": 0.8677,
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"class_count": 3
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}
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}
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