diff --git a/ai-engine/services/single_match_orchestrator.py b/ai-engine/services/single_match_orchestrator.py
index 45da207..f23998c 100755
--- a/ai-engine/services/single_match_orchestrator.py
+++ b/ai-engine/services/single_match_orchestrator.py
@@ -925,6 +925,7 @@ class SingleMatchOrchestrator:
         prediction.handicap_confidence = hcap_top * 100.0
 
         # ── Score Prediction: Model-first, heuristic fallback ──────────
+        ms_edge = prediction.ms_home_prob - prediction.ms_away_prob
         score_result = self._predict_score_with_model(features)
         if score_result is not None:
             # ML model predicted scores
@@ -939,7 +940,7 @@ class SingleMatchOrchestrator:
             # Heuristic fallback (original formula)
             base_home_xg = max(0.25, (float(data.home_goals_avg) + float(features.get("away_xga", data.away_conceded_avg))) / 2.0)
             base_away_xg = max(0.25, (float(data.away_goals_avg) + float(features.get("home_xga", data.home_conceded_avg))) / 2.0)
-            ms_edge = prediction.ms_home_prob - prediction.ms_away_prob
+            # ms_edge already computed above
             total_target = max(
                 1.4,
                 min(